Dak Prescott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dak Prescott's 6.47 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season marks a noteworthy gain in his running ability over last season's 3.95 figure.
With an impressive total of 3.61 yards-after-contact (85th percentile), Dak Prescott places as one of the leading rushing quarterbacks in the NFL this year.

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cowboys to run on 40.0% of their plays: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
At the moment, the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cowboys.
In this week's contest, Dak Prescott is expected by the model to earn the 8th-fewest rush attempts out of all QBs with 2.9.

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