Dak Prescott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 9:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Dallas Cowboys to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average).
Dak Prescott's rushing efficiency has improved this season, notching 5.15 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 3.95 rate last season.
The Buffalo Bills defense owns the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, giving up 4.80 adjusted yards-per-carry.
The Bills defensive tackles project as the 3rd-worst DT corps in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cowboys to run on 39.4% of their chances: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

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