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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • As far as a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.89 seconds per play, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 10th-fastest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment.
  • Dak Prescott's 5.47 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year reflects a meaningful gain in his rushing skills over last year's 3.95 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 7.2% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 3rd-least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 37.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • This year, the strong Eagles run defense has given up a mere 88.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 3rd-best in football.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Philadelphia's unit has been great this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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