Dak Prescott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 12:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Cowboys, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.
Dak Prescott's 5.66 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year illustrates a remarkable improvement in his running prowess over last year's 3.95 rate.
As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Seattle's safety corps has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football. in football.

Favors Under

The Cowboys boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 7.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
At the present time, the 8th-least run-oriented team in the league (36.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dallas Cowboys.
Opposing squads have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the league (in a neutral context) against the Cowboys defense this year, averaging 28.19 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

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