Dak Prescott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+116/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 8th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 2nd-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.06 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to be much more involved in his team's run game this week (9.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (3.9% in games he has played).
Dak Prescott has been among the top quarterbacks in football at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging an impressive 2.75 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 79th percentile.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Dak Prescott's ground efficiency (4.13 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football since the start of last season (15th percentile among QBs).

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