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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys are a huge 7-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The Cowboys rank as the 3rd-most run-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 44.5% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to be a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack this week (10.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (4.2% in games he has played).
  • Dak Prescott has been among the leading quarterbacks in football at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a terrific 2.90 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while grading out in the 82nd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Dak Prescott's rushing effectiveness (4.12 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL since the start of last season (15th percentile among quarterbacks).

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