Dak Prescott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 3rd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 44.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 143.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to be a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack this week (12.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (6.5% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Dak Prescott's running efficiency (4.25 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (23rd percentile among quarterbacks).

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