Dak Prescott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 9:31 PM EST

Analysis

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+111/-147).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -147.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are a 4-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Cowboys have been the 6th-most run-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 44.2% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 141.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to be a more integral piece of his team's run game this week (12.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (6.4% in games he has played).
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Dak Prescott's rushing effectiveness (3.73 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (9th percentile among quarterbacks).
The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends rank as the best unit in football this year in regard to run defense.

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