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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 66.6 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to be a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack this week (15.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (4.1% in games he has played).
  • The Dallas Cowboys O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
  • Dak Prescott has been among the best QBs in football at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a stellar 3.02 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 79th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 5th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 36.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Dak Prescott's running effectiveness (3.94 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league since the start of last season (22nd percentile among quarterbacks).
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the 3rd-least yards in football (just 92 per game) against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

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