Dak Prescott Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Passing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 9:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 260.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 248.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 260.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Cowboys feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3-point underdogs.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (41.1 per game) this year.
Dak Prescott's 70.8% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a significant progression in his throwing accuracy over last year's 65.4% figure.
With a terrific 7.62 adjusted yards-per-target (87th percentile) this year, Dak Prescott stands as one of the best per-play passers in the NFL.

Favors Under

At the moment, the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cowboys.
This year, the imposing Philadelphia Eagles defense has allowed the least yards-after-the-catch in football to the opposing side: a feeble 3.8 YAC.

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