Dak Prescott Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Passing Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Dak Prescott Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 257.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 255.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 257.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys offensive scheme to skew 3.2% more towards the passing game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
The Chargers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (40.8 per game) this year.
Dak Prescott's throwing accuracy has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 65.4% to 69.8%.
Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the most adjusted yards in football (324.0 per game) vs. the Chargers defense this year.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has displayed bad efficiency this year, conceding 8.94 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Cowboys to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.7 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
In this contest, Dak Prescott is expected by the projections to average the 8th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 35.9.

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