Dak Prescott Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Passing Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 241.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 244.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 241.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 3.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.53 seconds per play.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 44.5 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: most in the NFL.
Dak Prescott's 72.1% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a a significant improvement in his passing precision over last year's 65.4% figure.

Favors Under

This year, the tough 49ers defense has yielded the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing offenses: a mere 6.0 yards.
This year, the tough San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded the 4th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to the opposing side: a feeble 4.6 YAC.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco's collection of LBs has been excellent this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

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