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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Dak Prescott Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 241.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 244.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 241.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 3.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.53 seconds per play.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 44.5 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: most in the NFL.
  • Dak Prescott's 72.1% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a a significant improvement in his passing precision over last year's 65.4% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year, the tough 49ers defense has yielded the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing offenses: a mere 6.0 yards.
  • This year, the tough San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded the 4th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to the opposing side: a feeble 4.6 YAC.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco's collection of LBs has been excellent this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

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