Dak Prescott Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Passing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 3:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 276.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 283.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 276.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Cowboys as the 8th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Dallas Cowboys to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average).
In this game, Dak Prescott is predicted by our trusted projection set to have the 4th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 37.5.
Dak Prescott's 278.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season illustrates a material improvement in his throwing prowess over last season's 241.0 rate.

Favors Under

This year, the stout Bills defense has conceded the 9th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing squads: a mere 4.4 YAC.
As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Buffalo's CB corps has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

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