Dak Prescott Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Passing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Dak Prescott Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 262.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 251.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 262.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys offensive gameplan to lean 6.4% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.5 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Cowboys have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.8 plays per game.
Dak Prescott has passed for a lot more adjusted yards per game (276.0) this season than he did last season (241.0).
Dak Prescott's throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 65.4% to 70.6%.

Favors Under

With a 11.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are heavily favored in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Panthers, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.9 per game) this year.
Opposing teams have thrown for the 3rd-fewest yards in the NFL (just 185.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Carolina Panthers defense this year.

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