Dak Prescott Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Passing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 8:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 236.5 (+100/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 243.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 236.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 2nd-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.06 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Dak Prescott has been among the best passers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 262.0 yards per game while checking in at the 90th percentile.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line has given their quarterback 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to attempt 33.6 passes in this week's game, on average: the 9th-least of all QBs.
Opposing QBs have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.
Dak Prescott's throwing accuracy has tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.4% to 58.3%.

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