Dak Prescott Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Passing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 17, 2022

Updated Dec 30, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 227.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 237.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 227.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.5 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the league.
Dak Prescott has been among the most accurate passers in the NFL this year with a terrific 67.7% Completion%, checking in at the 94th percentile.
Dak Prescott has been among the best per-play quarterbacks in football this year, averaging an impressive 7.66 yards-per-target while checking in at the 78th percentile.
Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the most yards in football (300.0 per game) against the Tennessee Titans defense this year.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 50.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Dak Prescott has passed for many fewer yards per game (242.0) this year than he did last year (288.0).
The Tennessee Titans safeties grade out as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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