Dak Prescott Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Passing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 236.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 136.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Dak Prescott has been among the most effective QBs in the league this year, averaging a terrific 7.55 yards-per-target while checking in at the 76th percentile.
The Houston Texans defense has been particularly weak when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 6.15 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-most in football.
The Houston Texans safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a big 17.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to attempt 33.5 passes in this game, on average: the 8th-least of all QBs.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: least in football.
Dak Prescott has thrown for quite a few less yards per game (229.0) this year than he did last year (288.0).

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