Dak Prescott Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Passing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 9:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 262.5 (-150/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 258.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 262.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 140.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to attempt 40.8 passes this week, on average: the 5th-most of all QBs.
Opposing offenses have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
Opposing QBs have passed for the 3rd-most yards in the NFL (278.0 per game) vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year.

Favors Under

The Cowboys have been the 7th-least pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 57.2% pass rate.
Dak Prescott has passed for many fewer yards per game (224.0) this year than he did last year (273.0).
Dak Prescott's passing precision has tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.4% to 63.0%.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Dallas Cowboys have used play action on a lowly 23.6% of their passing plays since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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