Dak Prescott Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Passing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:26 PM EST

Analysis

Dak Prescott Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 235.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 229.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 235.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Dak Prescott has been among the best QBs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 260.0 yards per game while checking in at the 90th percentile.
The Green Bay Packers defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 6.31 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-most in the NFL.
The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line has allowed their quarterback 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a huge 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The Cowboys rank as the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 56.1% pass rate.
The Dallas Cowboys have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 55.5 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in football.
Dak Prescott's passing accuracy has tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 68.4% to 63.0%.

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