Dak Prescott Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Pass Attempts

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 9:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 141.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to attempt 38.0 passes in this game, on average: the 8th-most of all quarterbacks.
The Dallas Cowboys have gone no-huddle on 12.6% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-most in the league). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 4-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Cowboys rank as the 6th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 55.8% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.4 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 8th-least in the league.

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