Dak Prescott Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Pass Attempts

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (+106/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 140.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Dallas Cowboys have gone no-huddle on 12.6% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a huge 10.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 3rd-least in the NFL.
The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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