Dak Prescott Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-100/-130).
Key Factors
Favors Over
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 136.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Dak Prescott has averaged 1.15 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 6th percentile among QBs.
The Houston Texans safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line has afforded their quarterback 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Favors Under
The Cowboys are a big 17.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to attempt 33.5 passes in this game, on average: the 8th-least of all QBs.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: least in football.
The Dallas Cowboys have faced a stacked the box on a measly 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.