Dak Prescott Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Interceptions

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 24, 2022 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+161/-216).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Dak Prescott has thrown 0.90 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile among QBs.
The New York Giants have intercepted 0.18 throws per game this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst defense in the NFL by this metric
The New York Giants linebackers project as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a giant 10-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The Cowboys rank as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.4% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in the NFL.
The Dallas Cowboys have faced a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The New York Giants have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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