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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Completions
Player Prop Week 8

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Dak Prescott Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-107/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 63.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Cowboys to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 60.3 plays per game.
  • This week, Dak Prescott is projected by our trusted projection set to average the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 38.9.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Cowboys profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Dak Prescott's passing accuracy has diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 69.1% to 64.2%.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-lowest clip in football vs. the 49ers defense this year (66.1% Adjusted Completion%).
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco's LB corps has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.

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