Dak Prescott Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Completions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:51 PM EST

Analysis

Dak Prescott Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Cowboys feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Cowboys, who are -3-point underdogs.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (41.1 per game) this year.
Dak Prescott's 70.8% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a significant progression in his throwing accuracy over last year's 65.4% figure.
As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Philadelphia's collection of CBs has been lousy this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

At the moment, the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Cowboys.

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