Dak Prescott Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-115).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The projections expect the Cowboys offensive gameplan to tilt 3.5% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-highest number on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Dak Prescott's 69.4% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a substantial boost in his passing accuracy over last year's 65.4% rate.
The Los Angeles Rams linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
Favors Under
With a 6.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
This year, the formidable Rams defense has conceded a meager 63.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-best rate in the league.