Dak Prescott Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Completions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 143.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.8 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line has given their QB 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys have gone no-huddle on 12.6% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to attempt 38.0 passes in this week's contest, on average: the least of all QBs.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-best CB corps in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.