Dak Prescott Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Completions

Tennessee Titans vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 17, 2022

Updated Dec 30, 2022 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.5 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the league.
Dak Prescott has been among the most accurate passers in the NFL this year with a terrific 67.7% Completion%, checking in at the 94th percentile.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 5th-highest clip in football vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year (73.3%).
The Dallas Cowboys O-line has afforded their QB 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 50.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans safeties grade out as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.