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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott Completions
Player Prop Week 14

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Dak Prescott Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-137/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -137.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 136.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Houston Texans safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Dallas Cowboys offensive line has afforded their quarterback 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have gone no-huddle on 12.6% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-most in football). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a big 17.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to attempt 33.5 passes in this game, on average: the 8th-least of all QBs.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: least in football.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 5th-lowest clip in the NFL versus the Houston Texans defense this year (66.0%).

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