Dak Prescott Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Completions

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 24, 2022 9:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Dak Prescott has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in the league this year with a stellar 67.1% Completion%, checking in at the 79th percentile.
The New York Giants linebackers project as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line has afforded their QB 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a giant 10-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The Cowboys rank as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.4% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in the NFL.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 4th-lowest rate in the NFL against the New York Giants defense this year (65.4%).
The Dallas Cowboys have faced a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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