Dak Prescott Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Carries

Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are an enormous 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.43 seconds per play.
The Arizona Cardinals defensive ends project as the 7th-worst group of DEs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

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