Dak Prescott Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Carries

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Jets · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Dak Prescott Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are an enormous 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 7th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 41.0% run rate.
The New York Jets safeties grade out as the 32nd-worst group of safeties in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

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