Dak Prescott Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Carries

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 11.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are heavily favored in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.
The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the 7th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 45.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.5 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Cowboys have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.8 plays per game.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Carolina's unit has been awful this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys offensive gameplan to lean 6.4% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.

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