Curtis Samuel Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Curtis Samuel

NFL · Player Props

Curtis Samuel

WR · Washington Commanders

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 14, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Curtis Samuel Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Curtis Samuel to total 1.5 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers and tight ends.
The Commanders are willing to include receivers in their rushing attack, and Curtis Samuel has been given 7.5% of carries this year (99th percentile).
Curtis Samuel has averaged 9.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest figures in the league among WRs and TEs (95th percentile).
Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-most yards in the NFL (179 per game) versus the Chicago Bears defense this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 9th-least run-oriented team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 36.3% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to call the 7th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Washington Commanders O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year in run blocking.

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