Curtis Samuel Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Curtis Samuel

NFL · Player Props

Curtis Samuel

WR · Washington Commanders

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 2, 2022 4:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Curtis Samuel Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 3rd-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 49.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Curtis Samuel to total 2.3 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers and tight ends.
The Commanders are willing to include receivers in their run game, and Curtis Samuel has received 8.3% of rush attempts this year (99th percentile).
Curtis Samuel has averaged 14.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest marks in the NFL among wide receivers and tight ends (98th percentile).

Favors Under

The Washington Commanders will be forced to start backup quarterback Taylor Heinicke in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to call the 5th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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