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Curtis Samuel

Curtis Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Curtis Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Bills as the 6th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the predictive model to call just 61.4 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.
  • The Bills have run the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 51.2 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Curtis Samuel has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (40.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (62.8%).

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