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Curtis Samuel

Curtis Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 21

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

Curtis Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 132.5 total plays run: the lowest number among all games this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (just 55.4 per game on average).

Curtis Samuel has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (44.3% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (62.4%).

Curtis Samuel's 2.0 adjusted receptions per game this year indicates an impressive decrease in his pass-catching talent over last year's 3.9 mark.

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been very good this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

More Curtis Samuel Player Props

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