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Curtis Samuel

Curtis Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

Curtis Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-146/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -138 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -146.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.

As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 8th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Bills to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.5 plays per game.

Curtis Samuel's 44.3% Route Participation% this season reflects a substantial diminishment in his passing attack utilization over last season's 62.4% rate.

Curtis Samuel's play as a receiver has diminished this year, totaling just 2.1 adjusted catches compared to 3.9 last year.

The Ravens safeties rank as the 5th-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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