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Curtis Samuel

Curtis Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers

Curtis Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -103 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -14-point disadvantage, the Commanders are huge underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.

The leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 67.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

In this contest, Curtis Samuel is expected by the projections to finish in the 75th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 6.4 targets.

Curtis Samuel comes in as one of the best wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an outstanding 4.1 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 77th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see just 125.3 total plays run: the fewest among all games this week.

Curtis Samuel's 62.8% Route% this year reflects a noteable reduction in his passing offense volume over last year's 81.5% rate.

The 49ers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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