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Curtis Samuel

Curtis Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Washington Commanders

Curtis Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 62.8% of their plays: the 2nd-highest clip on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 3rd-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.41 seconds per play.

With a remarkable 4.3 adjusted catches per game (78th percentile) this year, Curtis Samuel places among the leading WRs in the game in the league.

With a terrific 76.7% Adjusted Catch Rate (98th percentile) this year, Curtis Samuel ranks among the most reliable receivers in football among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

Curtis Samuel's 62.6% Route% this season signifies a material diminishment in his passing offense utilization over last season's 81.5% mark.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New York's collection of CBs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

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