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Curtis Samuel

Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 132.5 total plays run: the lowest number among all games this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (just 55.4 per game on average).

Curtis Samuel has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (44.3% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (62.4%).

After totaling 40.0 air yards per game last season, Curtis Samuel has seen a big decrease this season, now pacing 15.0 per game.

Curtis Samuel has put up substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (15.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).

Curtis Samuel's pass-game effectiveness has worsened this season, notching a measly 5.39 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.69 rate last season.

More Curtis Samuel Player Props

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