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Curtis Samuel

Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
  • As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 8th-best in football this year.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has conceded the most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (153.0) vs. wideouts this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bills to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.5 plays per game.
  • Curtis Samuel's 44.3% Route Participation% this season reflects a substantial diminishment in his passing attack utilization over last season's 62.4% rate.
  • Curtis Samuel has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (15.0 per game) than he did last year (40.0 per game).
  • Curtis Samuel has notched quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (16.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).

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