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Curtis Samuel

Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 132.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Broncos defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (36.6 per game) this year.

The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.

This year, the poor Denver Broncos defense has conceded a whopping 160.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the 3rd-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is implied by the Bills being a big 7.5-point favorite this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 54.9 per game on average).

The projections expect Curtis Samuel to be a less important option in his offense's passing offense in this week's contest (2.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (9.9% in games he has played).

Curtis Samuel has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (15.0 per game) than he did last season (40.0 per game).

More Curtis Samuel Player Props

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