My Account Log Out

reorder

Curtis Samuel

Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Washington Commanders

Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 62.8% of their plays: the 2nd-highest clip on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 3rd-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.41 seconds per play.

Curtis Samuel has accumulated quite a few more air yards this year (44.0 per game) than he did last year (35.0 per game).

With a terrific 76.7% Adjusted Catch Rate (98th percentile) this year, Curtis Samuel ranks among the most reliable receivers in football among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

Curtis Samuel's 62.6% Route% this season signifies a material diminishment in his passing offense utilization over last season's 81.5% mark.

The Jets defense has yielded the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 97.0) vs. WRs this year.

The Jets pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. wide receivers this year, giving up 6.89 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in the league.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New York's collection of CBs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

More Curtis Samuel Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™