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Curtis Samuel

Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 126.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Curtis Samuel to notch 7.1 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.
  • THE BLITZ projects Curtis Samuel to be much more involved in his offense's passing offense this week (20.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (10.6% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Curtis Samuel has totaled a paltry 9.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 15th percentile among wideouts.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 124.0) to WRs since the start of last season.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus WRs since the start of last season, surrendering 7.18 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in the league.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.91 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-least in the league.

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