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Curtis Samuel
NFL · Player Props
Curtis Samuel
WR · Washington Commanders
Receiving Yards
New York Giants vs Washington Commanders · Week 13, 2022 Updated Dec 5, 2022 4:01 AM UTC
NFL Props Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards

Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (+110/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -135.

Favors Over
  • The Washington Commanders will be forced to start backup quarterback Taylor Heinicke in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.1 plays per game.
  • Curtis Samuel has been much more involved in his offense's air attack this year (18.5% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (4.8%).
  • The New York Giants linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Washington Commanders O-line has given their quarterback 2.75 seconds before the pass (2nd-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 49.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
  • The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Curtis Samuel has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in football, averaging a measly 7.38 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 18th percentile among wideouts
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