Curtis Samuel Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 13

My Account Log Out

reorder

Curtis Samuel

NFL · Player Props

Curtis Samuel

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving TD

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Curtis Samuel Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+355/-698).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -594 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -698.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.1 plays per game.
Curtis Samuel's 37.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 7.6.
The New York Giants linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Washington Commanders O-line has given their quarterback 2.75 seconds before the pass (2nd-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.
The New York Giants defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.61 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The New York Giants pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.8%) to WRs this year (61.8%).
The New York Giants defense has conceded the 3rd-least touchdowns through the air in the NFL to WRs: 0.55 per game this year.

More Curtis Samuel Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow