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Curtis Samuel

Curtis Samuel Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Curtis Samuel Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+320/-589).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -586 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -589.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 26.90 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Curtis Samuel to be much more involved in his team's air attack near the end zone this week (12.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (5.9% in games he has played).
  • The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the highest Completion% in football (75.7%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (75.7%).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars cornerbacks project as the 8th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

  • The Commanders are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in football.
  • Curtis Samuel has been responsible for a meager 0.6% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: a lowly 14th percentile among WRs.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on just 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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