Craig Reynolds Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Craig Reynolds

NFL · Player Props

Craig Reynolds

RB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Carolina Panthers · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 4:01 PM EST

Analysis

Craig Reynolds Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a giant 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Lions to run on 46.0% of their chances: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.0 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Lions O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league last year at blocking for rushers.
The Panthers defense owns the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding 5.49 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Craig Reynolds has been on the field for 14.7% of his team's snaps this year, placing him in the 23rd percentile when it comes to RBs.

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