Craig Reynolds Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Craig Reynolds

NFL · Player Props

Craig Reynolds

RB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Craig Reynolds Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 5th-most run-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 42.4% run rate.
The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in run blocking.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 8th-most yards in the NFL (133 per game) versus the Atlanta Falcons defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense to be the 8th-worst paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 28.94 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best group of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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